OG Esports has a 3.22% chance of winning TI10, according to Noxville
Do we smell a threepeat?
Dota 2statistician anddatdotaadministratorBen “Noxville” Steenhuisenlaunched a special site ahead of this year’sThe International (TI10).
The website specifically utilizes the Monte Carlo simulation model to predict which team will most likely win the competition, and OG Esports is not one of them.
Can OG Esports win TI for a third time? Noxville lays down the statistics
Crowd favorites OG Esports only has a 3.22% chance of bagging the Aegis of the Champions this year according to the Noxville’sThe International probability website.
With a 24.98% probability of getting 9th to 12th place, the model predicts that OG Esports will most likely fall out of the competition during the Main Event’s Upper and Lower Bracket matches.
Still, fans are expecting another miraculous run from the soletwo-time TI championswith playersJohan “N0tail” Sundstein,Sébastien “Ceb” Debs, andTopias “Topson” Taavitsainenleading the squad.
OG Esports bested Tundra Esportsat theDota 2 European qualifier, and narrowly secured one of the last spots for The International.
China, led by PSG.LGD, is ahead of the TI10 competition
Meanwhile,2021 WePlay! AniMajor champions and Chinese team PSG.LGDhas the highest chance of becoming TI10 champions, with a 18.86% probability.
OG Esports N0tail too, believes PSG.LGD is one of the teams to watch out for in the upcoming Dota 2 tournament.
“(I want to face)PSG.LGD,” sharedN0tail with ONE Esports. “They have a lot of cool vibes when you watch them play.”
Even Evil Geniuses’ team captain Tal “Fly” Aizik thinks they’re “one of the toughest” out of all 18qualified TI10 teams.
“I would love to have a rematch with PSG.LGD, since last time they 3-0’d us,” saidFly in an interview with ONE Esports.
Overall, China as a region sits on top of the charts with a 50.51% chance of winning The International 2021, according to Noxville’s probability website.
Aside from PSG.LGD, this year’s qualified China-based teams includeInvictus Gaming,Vici Gaming,Team Aster, andElephant. A total of 24% of TI10 players represent China.
A post shared by ONE Esports (@oneesports)
Noxville’s The International probability website currently bases its predictions on existing team-based skill metrics. TheDota 2 statisticianpromises he will update the rankings as soon as more information comes to light before TI10.
READ MORE:The most interesting stats I collected from the Singapore Major – by Noxville
